EURO 2016 Overview

Here all my posts regarding EURO 2016 are summarized in one convenient place. You can browse through all the jerseys I have covered as well as look over all the analyses and predictions I have made.

FINAL TOURNAMENT:

Jersey World Posts:

Group A					Group B					Group C
FRA	4/10	7/10			ENG	5/10	6/10			GER	8/10	1/10
SUI	5/10	10/10			RUS	3/10	4/10			UKR	7/10	8/10
ROU	6/10	6/10			SVK	6/10	4/10			POL	7/10	6/10
ALB	7/10	7/10	6/10		WAL	7/10	2/10			NIR	7/10	9/10
Group D					Group E					Group F
ESP	7/10	3/10			BEL	3/10	10/10			POR	7/10	6/10
CRO	10/10	7/10			ITA	5/10	8/10			AUT	4/10	9/10
CZE	6/10	7/10			SWE	7/10	2/10			HUN	8/10	7/10
TUR	2/10	6/10			IRL	9/10	6/10			ISL	9/10	7/10	6/10

Stats in Soccer Posts:

DISCLAIMER: ALL THESE NUMBERS ARE ONLY INFORMATIVE AND SHOULD IN NO WAY BE USED TO PLACE BETS OR OTHER PROFIT-MINDED ACTIVITIES! THE AUTHOR DOES NOT TAKE ANY RESPONSIBILITY IF THE PUBLISHED PROBABILITIES AND OUTCOMES DO INCUR ANY MONETARY OR OTHER LOSSES.

Final Ranking:

Pos	Team	Index		Pos	Team	Index		Pos	Team	Index		Pos	Team	Index
1		0.930		7		0.647		13		0.241		19		-0.738
2		0.626		8		0.796		14		0.336		20		-0.637
3		0.181		9		0.043				0.242		21		-0.603
4		0.899		10		-0.545		16		0.510		22		-0.841
5		0.526		11		-0.113		17		-0.320		23		-0.761
6		-0.057		12		-0.449		18		0.141		24		-0.791

 Results of Tournament

 

Group A				Group B				Group C
1Q		7	4-1	1Q		6	6-3	1Q		7	3-0
2Q		5	2-1	2Q		5	3-2	2Q		7	2-0
3		3	1-3	3Q		4	3-3	3Q		3	2-2
4		1	2-4	4		1	2-6	4		0	0-5
Group D				Group E				Group F
1Q		7	5-3	1Q		6	3-1	1Q		5	6-4
2Q		6	5-2	2Q		6	4-2	2Q		5	4-3
3		3	2-4	3Q		4	2-4	3Q		3	4-4
4		1	2-5	4		1	1-3	4		1	1-4
Round 2			1/4-Final			1/2-Final			Final
A2		1 (4) p
C2		1 (5) k		1 (3) p
D1		0 e		1 (5) k
beF3		1 t					2
B1		1					0
aCd3		0		3
F1		0		1
E2		4								1 e
C1		3								0 t
sBf3		0		1 (6) p
E1		2		1 (5) k
D2		0					0
A1		2					2
cdE3		1		5
B2		1		2
F2		2

Draw Analysis

 

Previous Posts: Dec 15, 2015 Dec 12, 2015

 

QUALIFICATION: 

Jersey World Posts:

Group A					Group B					Group C
NED	10/10	7/10	9/10		BIH	7/10	6/10			ESP	8/10	3/10	8/10
CZE	6/10	7/10			BEL	3/10	4/10			UKR
TUR	9/10				ISR					SVK		7/10
LVA					WAL	8/10	8/10			BLR	7/10
ISL	6/10	8/10			CYP					MKD
KAZ					AND					LUX
Group D					Group E					Group F
GER	5/10	5/10			ENG	4/10	7/10			GRE	9/10	9/10
IRL	9/10	7/10	2/10		SUI	6/10	7/10			HUN	7/10	5/10
POL	6/10				SVN	1/10				ROU	7/10
SCO	6/10				EST	9/10				FIN	8/10
GEO					LTU					NIR	4/10	8/10
GIB					SMR					FRO
Group G					Group H					Group I
RUS	6/10	9/10			ITA	8/10	3/10	8/10		POR	6/10	8/10
SWE	4/10				CRO	6/10	7/10			DAN	5/10	8/10
AUT	5/10	7/10			NOR					SRB
MNE					BUL					ARM
MDA					AZE					ALB	6/10
LIE					MLT

Stats in Soccer Posts:

DISCLAIMER: ALL THESE NUMBERS ARE ONLY INFORMATIVE AND SHOULD IN NO WAY BE USED TO PLACE BETS OR OTHER PROFIT-MINDED ACTIVITIES! THE AUTHOR DOES NOT TAKE ANY RESPONSIBILITY IF THE PUBLISHED PROBABILITIES AND OUTCOMES DO INCUR ANY MONETARY OR OTHER LOSSES.

Field of qualified teams (Nov 18, 2015):

Pos	Team	Prob		Pos	Team	Prob		Pos	Team	Prob		Pos	Team	Prob
1		1.000		7		1.000		13		1.000		19		1.000
2		1.000		8		1.000		14		1.000		20		1.000
3		1.000		9		1.000		15		1.000		21		1.000
4		1.000		10		1.000		16		1.000		22		1.000
5		1.000		11		1.000		17		1.000		23		1.000
6		1.000		12		1.000		18		1.000		24		1.000

Expected outcome of qualifying groups (Nov 18, 2015):

Group A						Group B						Group C
		Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)				Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)				Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)
1q		22	|18|	1.000		1q		23	|17|	1.000		1q		27	|21|	1.000
2q		20	|16|	1.000		2q		21	|15|	1.000		2q		22	|16|	1.000
3q		18	|16|	1.000		3p		17	|11|	0.000		3p		19	|13|	1.000
4		13	| 7|	0.000		4		13	| 7|	0.000		4		11	| 7|	0.000
5		5	| 1|	0.000		5		12	| 6|	0.000		5		4	| 1|	0.000
6		5	–	0.000		6		0	–	0.000		6		4	–	0.000
Group D						Group E						Group F
		Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)				Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)				Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)
1q		22	|16|	1.000		1q		30	|24|	1.000		1q		21	|15|	1.000
2q		21	|15|	1.000		2q		21	|15|	1.000		2q		20	|16|	1.000
3p		18	|12|	1.000		3p		16	|10|	0.000		3p		16	|15|	1.000
4		15	| 9|	0.000		4		10	| 6|	0.000		4		12	| 8|	0.000
5		9	| 3|	0.000		5		10	| 4|	0.000		5		6	| 0|	0.000
6		0	–	0.000		6		1	–	0.000		6		6	–	0.000
Group G						Group H						Group I
		Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)				Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)				Pts	Pts-6	P(qual)
1q		28	|22|	1.000		1q		24	|18|	1.000		1q		21	–	1.000
2q		20	|16|	1.000		2q		20*	|14|*	1.000		2q		14	–	1.000
3p		18	|12|	1.000		3p		19	|13|	0.000		3p		12	–	0.000
4		11	| 5|	0.000		4		11	| 7|	0.000		4		4***	–	0.000
5		5	| 1|	0.000		5		6	| 2|	0.000		5		2	–	0.000
6		2	–	0.000		6		2	–	0.000

Playoffs (Nov 18, 2015)

		Agg	Leg1	Leg2				Agg	Leg1	Leg2
		1	0	1		Q		3	2	1
Q		3	1	2				1	0	1
		1	1	0		Q		4	2	2
Q		3	1	2				3	1	2

Qualification probabilities over time (Oct 14, 2015):

Group A	Group B	Group C
Group D	Group E	Group F
Group G	Group H	Group I

Previous Predictions: Nov 8, 2015 Oct 18, 2015 Oct 5, 2015 Sep 9, 2015 Jul 26, 2015 Jul 10, 2015 Jun 08. 2015 Apr 08, 2015 Apr 01, 2015 Mar 26, 2015 Nov 17, 2014 Oct 27, 2014 Oct 15, 2014 Oct 12, 2014 Sep 29, 2014 Sep 11,2014 Aug 20, 2014 Aug 11, 2014 Apr 11, 2014 Mar 7, 2014 Feb 28, 2014 Feb 18, 2014

Observations:

Thoughts on the first three days of the European  qualifiers.

Österreich:

Frankreich, wir kommen!?
Es sieht gut aus!
Das 1:1 gegen Schweden und seine Auswirkungen
Bald geht es los! Wie stehen die Chancen?
Eine kleine Analyse der Qualifikationsgruppe G
Nach der Auslosung: Wie stehen Österreichs Chancen nun?
Österreichs Chancen sich für die EURO 2016 zu qualifizieren